Publications

“Are changes in financial structure extending safety nets?”BIS Working Papers No 145

Significant attention has recently been directed to the optimal policy response when financial excesses threaten. This paper rather addresses issues pertinent to the appropriate policy response once financial difficulties have actually materialised. It begins with some empirical evidence concerning recent changes in financial structure (marketisation, globalisation and consolidation) and documents the rise in the number and variety of episodes of financial instability. The paper then goes on to examine the rationale for government intervention (use of safety net instruments) to reduce the costs of such financial instability, and cautiously concludes that the use of a number of such instruments has been on the rise. Moreover, the balance among them has also been changing. An attempt is then made to link these evolving policy responses back to the underlying changes in financial structure identified earlier. Since the use of safety net instruments always implies in principle some element of moral hazard, the paper concludes with an empirical evaluation of whether this seems to be a matter of practical importance, and whether “good design” might not have the potential to materially reduce such concerns. The conclusion reached is that sensible policies designed to contain the damage arising from financial instability can have less desirable longer-term consequences. Policymakers thus continue to face an inter-temporal optimisation problem.

Publication:  Bank For International Settlements Date:  2 February 2004 work145_Are changes in financial structure extended safety nets.pdf

Posted by williamw in Publications

International financial crises: prevention, management and resolution

Speech by William R White, Economic Adviser, Bank for International Settlements, at a conference on ‘Economic governance: the role of markets and of the State’, on the occasion of the Annual Congress of the Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, Berne 20 March 2003.

Date:  20 March 2003 20032003_SpeechBerne.pdf

Posted by williamw in Publications

International financial crises: prevention, management and resolution

Speech by William R White, Economic Adviser, Bank for International Settlements, at a conference on ‘Economic governance: the role of markets and of the State’, on the occasion of the Annual Congress of the Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, Berne 20 March 2003.

Date:  20 March 2003 20032003_SpeechBerne.pdf

Posted by williamw in Publications

Searching for price and financial stability: challenges for central bank statistical services

Speech by William R White, Economic Adviser and Head of the Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements, at the Irving Fisher Committee conference on ‘Challenges to central bank statistical activities’, Basel, 21 August 2002

Date:  21 August 2002 21aug2002_Searching for price and financial stability.pdf

Posted by williamw in Publications

Recent initiatives to improve the regulation and supervision of private capital flows

BIS Working Papers no.92, June 2000; and in Crisis prevention and response : where do we stand with the debate on reform of the international financial architecture?

In this paper, an attempt is made to put the changing attitudes of policymakers towards international capital flows into a broader economic and historical context. The paper then goes on to suggest that policymakers today wish, on the one hand, to achieve the benefits of freer capital flows while trying to minimise the risks they pose on the other. Various suggestions for achieving the second objective are then critically evaluated. While most seem to have merit, no single suggestion would seem sufficient in itself to avoid all problems. As in many areas having to do with crisis prevention, incremental progress across a broad front would seem warranted.

work92.pdf

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Comments on Bradford de Long’s paper

Paper presented by William R White at the Reserve Bank of Australia Conference on ‘The Australian Economy in the 1990s’, held at the HC Coombs Centre for Financial Studies, Kirribilli, 24-25 July 2000

Date:  24 July 2000 24July2000_Comments on Bradford de Long.pdf

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William R White Comments on Marvin Goodfriend’s paper: Financial stability, deflation and monetary policy

Speech by William R White for the Ninth International Conference at the Institute of Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, on ‘The Role of Monetary Policy under Low Inflation: Deflationary Shocks and their Policy Responses’, 3-4 July 2000

This was a very enjoyable paper to read, but one which covered a very wide range of economic territory. Since it would be impossible to evaluate its content systematically, let me reorder Goodfriend’s contents with a view to addressing only two questions.

3July2000_Comments on Marvin Goodfriend’s Paper.pdf

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What have we learned from recent financial crises and policy responses?”

In Global financial crises: lessons from recent events, edited by Joseph R.Bisignano, William C.Hunter, George G.Kaufman, Kluwer Academic Publishers 2000 pages 177-200

This paper draws some policy lessons from recent financial crises. Three forms of financial instability are distinguished: short-term volatility, medium-term misalignments including excessive international capital flows, and contagion across both markets and countries. Some underlying factors contributing to each form of instability are identified and specific public policies are recommended to help alleviate each. Attention is also focused on recent changes in the processes for developing and implementing incremental policies to improve the international financial system. Finally, it is concluded that it would not be appropriate (at this time at least) to try to establish an international superregulator.

Publication:  Bank for International Settlements Date:  1 January 2000 work84_What have we learned from recent Financial crises and policy responses.pdf

Posted by williamw in Publications

“Evolving International Financial Markets: Some Implications for Central Banks” BIS No.66

Internationally integrated capital markets can have significant effects on the way central bankers pursue both monetary (macroeconomic) and financial stability. With respect to the former, countries are being pushed into corner solutions of either “immutably” fixed exchange rates or floating.

Publication:  Bank for International Settlements Date:  1 April 1999

work66_Evolving International Financial Markets.pdf

Posted by williamw in Publications