Reforming the Fed

Along with others, Mr White was invited to provide an answer to the question, posed by the magazine The International Economy, of how the Fed’s mandate might be changed. He suggested that efforts to raise inflationary expectations by changing the mandate were doomed to failure. Rather, the Fed should pay less attention to decimal point deviations from inflation targets and focus more intently on avoiding credit driven “busts” in financial markets. The article was published in the Spring 2019 edition.

Reforming the Fed

InternationlEconomyFedReformPublication
Posted by williamw in Articles, Press

The Decade of Catching Up: Within the EU

Bill White made a presentation at the annual Lamfalussy Conference held at the Central Bank of Hungary, this year on February 4 in Budapest. His topic was the process of economic convergence between the Central, Eastern and South Eastern Economies (CESEE) in Europe and those richer economies further to the West. After looking at the recent history, Mr White suggested that future prospects for convergence depended in large part on the CESEE economies being resilient in resisting downturns. Historical studies indicated clearly that political division and the erosion of the rule of law reduced the trust and cooperation required for a resilient economy.

BudapestLamfalussyPaper
Posted by williamw in Publications

Changing Landscapes for Central Banks and Financial Regulators

Bill White made an introductory set of comments at a 21 January conference in Zurich organized by the Council on Economic Policies. Motivated by the recognition that dealing with climate change would prove very costly, the conference examined the issue of whether the governance structure (mandates, instruments  and accountability mechanisms) of central banking and financial regulation needed to be revisited.  White’s comments covered the historical origins of current practices, the underlying assumptions of current practices, the need for review of those basic assumptions and some possible implications of such a review.

ZurichCEPJan2019

 

Posted by williamw in Presentations

Global Debt Risk: Are We Ready for the Next Crisis?

On 18 January, Bill White made a presentation to a conference at the University of Toronto organized jointly by the OECD (the NAEC group) and the Fields Institute of Applied Mathematics. Bill concluded that another crisis could by no means be ruled out and that their were serious shortcomings in the official sector’s capacity to both manage and resolve (via debt restructuring) such a crisis.

 

TorontoFields2019

Posted by williamw in Presentations

A Bearish Perspective on Financial Markets

On 15 November Bill White participated in a charity event in Zurich to support Swiss cancer research. The event consisted of an exchange of views about the economic outlook, between Bill and Paul McNamara, an investment director at GAM in London.

Posted by williamw in Presentations

Economic Outlook and The Need for Monetary Reform

Bill White made  a presentation on 24 November at a conference organized by the Monetative group at the Frankfurt School of Finance and Management. The conference was directed to analyzing how digitalization might lead to changes in the current monetary system. Bill focusered on shortcomings in the current system, not least recurrent credit driven “booms and busts”, and concluded that these shortcomings provided a prima facie case for thinking about alternative monetary systems.

FrankfurtMonetativeNov2018

http://conference2018.monetative.de/economic-outlook-and-the-need-for-monetary-reform/

Posted by williamw in Presentations

What is Macroprudential Policy Not? It is Not a Silver Bullet.

Bill White made the keynote presentation at the end of a 19 November conference on macroprudential policies, organized jointly by the IMF, the Danish National Bank and CBS in Copenhagen. Although many commentators seem to feel that such policies will ensure financial stability in the future, Bill noted that policymakers face many difficulties in conducting them properly. Indeed, they might even contribute to financial instability by encouraging the pursuit of “lower for longer” monetary policy with its many unintended consequences.

CopenhagenMacroprudentialNov2018

Posted by williamw in Presentations

Have Post-Crisis Changes to Financial Regulation Been Sufficient?

Bill presented his comments on a panel at the end of a meeting (August 30-31) in Reykjavik, Iceland, which looked at “The 2008 Global Financial Crisis in Retrospect”. He agreed that much progress has been made in regulating the financial sector, but also drew attention to many remaining shortcomings. The fact that all piecemeal regulatory changes invite evasion, and then still another regulatory response, raises questions as to whether still more radical change to our current financial and monetary system is not required.

IcelandFinalPanelComments
Posted by williamw in Presentations

Bad Financial Moon Rising

In this article, published by Project Syndicate, Bill White lays out his reasons for believing that a forthcoming financial crash and subsequent global recession might be even more serious than the one that began in 2008. One important factor is that governments have a much reduced capacity to repond as well as a much reduced willingness to do so in a cooperative way. If rising nationalist tendencies impede collective policy action, which then leads to a worsening economic situation and still more nationalism,  we would be on “an old, familiar, and extremely dangerous path”.

Bad Financial Moon Rising

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/global-economy-weak-fundamentals-by-william-white-2018-10

 

Posted by williamw in Articles