In a 29 August article in the Financial Times, Paul Hodges and Daniel de Blocq van Scheltinga refer to an earlier interview that William White gave to the Daily Telegraph. The general concern he raised was that a growing level of global debt could trigger or exacerbate another global recession. More particularly, White stated his concern about the growing level of dollar denominated debt, issued by non residents of the United States. This exposed the issuers to dangerous currency mismatch problems should the US dollar continue to strengthen. The recent depreciation of the renmimbi was worrisome in that regard, particularly if it sparked renewed capital flight from China, as was the possibility of another “Risk Off” phase in international capital flows.
References
How the long debt cycle might end
Martin Wolf, in his article of 14 May, 2019 in the Financial Times, made reference to some of my earlier publications that warned of a renewed financial crisis. He notes my concerns about a constantly growing ratio of non-financial sector debt to global GDP and the incoherence between the near term implications of monetary policy (expansionary) and financial regulation (contractionary) for aggregate demand. These problems, along with many other “imbalances” in the global economy arising from policy actions, might trigger a renewed crisis. Should exogenous forces, like a trade war, provide an alternative trigger for a new downturn, these “imbalances” will surely worsen it s magnitude and duration.
http://www.ft.com/content/f09cda30-7598-11e9-bbad-7c18c0ea0201
A Retrospective: Ten Years after Lehman Brothers
Bill White gave an interview to Herman Hesse of Der Spiegel who referred to him in an article published (in German) on 8 September 2018.
HesseArticle2018Danielle DiMartino Booth Refers to My Being Awarded the 2016 NABE Adam Smith Prize
Dimartino Booth refers to the speech which I gave on that occassion ” Ultra-Easy Money: Digging the Hole Deeper?”
MauldinDimartinrefWWJohn Mauldin reference to Project Syndicate piece
John Mauldin refers favourably to my suggestion that perhaps easy monetary policy is creating disinflation, as debt headwinds reduce demand and zombie companies increase supply.
http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/data-dependent-on-imaginary-data
Reference to William White in article published on 18 May in Die Zeit
Die mächtigste Schule der Welt
Dann führten sie Länder, Zentralbanken und internationale Organisationen.
Eine Idee hält sie zusammen. Aber was, wenn diese Idee falsch ist?
Die-mächtigste-Schule-der-Welt.pdf
ZEIT_Die mächtigste Schule der WeltEchoes of 2008 as danger signs are ignored: Financial Times
Interview by Gillian Tett
Publication: Financial Times Date: 2 September 2016 ScanTettFinTimes.pdf
ScanTettFinTimesReference to William White “The lean or clean controversy” by Klaus Engelen
Article by Klaus Engelen, published in The International Economy, Spring 2016
TIE_W16_EngelenAre central banks sowing the seeds of a greater crisis?
Article published in The Australian by Adam Creighton, 19 January 2013
190113_Article The Australian.pdf
190113_Article The AustralianBIS Hails a Heretical Revolution
Steve Keen is Associate Professor of Economics & Finance at the University of Western Sydney and author of Debunking Economics and the blog Debtwatch.
Business Spectator-BIS hails a heretical Revolution_03 Jan2013.pdf
Business Spectator-BIS hails a heretical Revolution_03 Jan2013